will be proven exactly wrong about the turnout in both KY and WV. My expectation is that they will turn out in pretty massive numbers, precisely because they want to register their very strong disapproval of Obama as potential nominee.

In fact, if these voters come out in record numbers, it's going to be very, very difficult for the Obama campaign to spin the result as inconsequential. If Obama were even acceptable to this bloc of voters, why would they go out of their way under these circumstances to vote him down?